Northeast Monsoon Alert: Flood Risk and Rough Seas Expected

By: Rosli Mansor

KUALA LUMPUR, Nov 11 – The Malaysian Meteorological Department (MetMalaysia) predicts that the Northeast Monsoon, also known as the winter monsoon, will commence on Nov 11 and is expected to persist until March 2024.

In an official statement, MetMalaysia warns that this period will witness four to six episodes of heavy rain affecting several key areas in the country.

The early phase of the Northeast Monsoon, spanning from Nov 2023 to Jan 2024, is anticipated to bring heavy rainfall, particularly in states such as Kelantan, Terengganu, Pahang, Johor, and western Sarawak. The risk of extreme flooding may increase if heavy rain coincides with high tides and storm surges.

MetMalaysia also notes that continuous and strong northeast winds could lead to rough seas, heightening the risk of rising sea levels and large waves in the South China Sea.

Meanwhile, during the late phase of the Northeast Monsoon, from February to March 2024, the northern regions of the Peninsula (Perlis, Kedah, Penang, Perak, Kelantan, Terengganu), Sabah, Labuan, and northern Sarawak are expected to experience reduced rainfall. The hot and dry weather expected in March 2024 may result in heatwaves.

These weather conditions are attributed to the ongoing El Nino phenomenon until mid-2024 and a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) expected until the first quarter of 2024.

MetMalaysia advises the public to be prepared for this monsoon season and to stay vigilant with information, advice, forecasts, and weather warnings issued by authorities.

MetMalaysia emphasizes the importance of safety and the effectiveness of early actions in facing anticipated weather challenges.

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